Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.184776 0.213948 0.246211 0.284541 0.328844 0.378454 0.438245
2025-08-31 0.137655 0.176385 0.223686 0.285714 0.364962 0.462904 0.593305
2025-09-07 0.113532 0.156028 0.211608 0.289647 0.396500 0.537879 0.739543
2025-09-14 0.094013 0.136803 0.195984 0.283844 0.411143 0.589214 0.857923
2025-09-21 0.080574 0.123198 0.185073 0.281483 0.428184 0.643532 0.984749
2025-09-28 0.071383 0.114090 0.178830 0.284163 0.451626 0.708293 1.133149
2025-10-05 0.066524 0.110716 0.180409 0.298375 0.493590 0.804822 1.341002
2025-10-12 0.061471 0.106213 0.179405 0.307914 0.528615 0.893563 1.545993
2025-10-19 0.056757 0.101567 0.177424 0.315255 0.560328 0.979659 1.755739
2025-10-26 0.051955 0.096099 0.173278 0.318118 0.584223 1.054439 1.953607
2025-11-02 0.046836 0.089389 0.166099 0.314541 0.595862 1.108384 2.119318
2025-11-09 0.041450 0.081508 0.155858 0.303998 0.593183 1.135589 2.237575
2025-11-16 0.038834 0.078681 0.154829 0.311054 0.625186 1.231801 2.501253
2025-11-23 0.035784 0.074641 0.151036 0.312293 0.646029 1.309028 2.737042
2025-11-30 0.033409 0.071661 0.148943 0.316593 0.673298 1.401476 3.013890
2025-12-07 0.030242 0.066637 0.142123 0.310250 0.677639 1.447560 3.198503
2025-12-14 0.027774 0.062814 0.137357 0.307669 0.689561 1.510437 3.426079
2025-12-21 0.026028 0.060369 0.135245 0.310598 0.713755 1.601914 3.727114
2025-12-28 0.025423 0.060429 0.138604 0.326134 0.767899 1.764656 4.208479
2026-01-04 0.024455 0.059530 0.139700 0.336562 0.811400 1.907962 4.660868
2026-01-11 0.023382 0.058254 0.139783 0.344586 0.850082 2.044150 5.111739
2026-01-18 0.022071 0.056247 0.137929 0.347715 0.877257 2.156010 5.515810
2026-01-25 0.020448 0.053273 0.133431 0.343805 0.886579 2.225782 5.822418